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Falling interest - financial indicator

December 2008

Impact on charities of base rate cut by Bank of England

The bank of England has cut base rates by 1.5 per cent to 3 per cent , the biggest single cut in rates in 53 years. The reduction was justified because of an anticipated severe contraction in economic activity as the cyclical downturn is exacerbated by the banking crisis of September. Although the cut is dramatic – three times larger than any previous cut made by the MPC – it will not be the end of the cycle. Investment markets are discounting rates of 2 per cent by April. At the moment shortages of liquidity in the banking system have kept money market rates high and thereby prevented the full weight of the reductions hitting charity income but these shortages will ease in the next few months and the rates available to depositors will fall as a result.

With economic prospects for 2009 very poor, it is unlikely that interest rates will rise any time soon and it will be a long time before they climb back to the levels of even a few weeks ago. Charities must therefore work in an environment where their cash deposits earn much lower returns. Unfortunately the weak economy means that the risks in the cash deposit market will stay high, so those attracted to unusually high interest rates need to be aware that they may well come with unusually high risks.
 

Author: John Kelly

John Kelly is head of client investment at CCLA.

Click here for other articles written by John Kelly

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